30 March 2019
Is Mediterranean Multilateralism Dead?
The prospects for regional cooperation on peace and security in the broader Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region are more than bleak. To take stock and to identify future trends, threats, and weak signals of change that might have an influence on the security architecture of the region, the Bureau für Zeitgeschehen was commissioned by the Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung (KAS) to facilitate a strategic foresight exercise (28th to 30th March, 2019). Guided by the Bureau’s methodological expertise, the members of the so-called Mediterranean Advisory Group developed the scenarios that depict the most plausible development of peace and security in the MENA region in 2030 viewed from eight different perspectives – the EU, Iran, Egypt, Israel, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and the United States of America – representing the most active actors in the region that can shed light on political realities in the near future.
The Mediterranean Advisory Group (MAG) is a Euro-Mediterranean network of experts and practitioners, which reviews and analyses developments in the region connected to security, foreign policy and migration. The findings and recommendations of the MAG are intended to inform decision-makers. The results of the scenario workshop are published in the Mediterranean Dialogue Series.
Photo: CC BY-NC 2.0, Gal.